Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.111036 0.119112 0.127474 0.136783 0.146865 0.157460 0.169445
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.096149 0.107790 0.120450 0.135266 0.152165 0.170876 0.193217
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.085668 0.098897 0.113763 0.131759 0.153021 0.177426 0.207677
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.080784 0.095552 0.112605 0.133839 0.159686 0.190271 0.229419
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.074832 0.090323 0.108624 0.131958 0.161084 0.196458 0.242999
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.070106 0.086150 0.105492 0.130682 0.162843 0.202828 0.256766
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065119 0.081292 0.101141 0.127479 0.161789 0.205347 0.265435
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.061545 0.077970 0.098466 0.126146 0.162894 0.210480 0.277541
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.058934 0.075707 0.096972 0.126175 0.165650 0.217748 0.292691
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.055794 0.072578 0.094162 0.124255 0.165609 0.221141 0.302541
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.053352 0.070239 0.092254 0.123400 0.166885 0.226268 0.314923
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.052725 0.070283 0.093501 0.126854 0.174199 0.240005 0.340169
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.050447 0.068022 0.091568 0.125871 0.175322 0.245193 0.353487
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.048186 0.065691 0.089439 0.124509 0.175824 0.249493 0.365699
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.045491 0.062632 0.086152 0.121313 0.173459 0.249414 0.371166
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044615 0.062100 0.086394 0.123208 0.178632 0.260676 0.394575
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.042687 0.059976 0.084260 0.121494 0.178284 0.263540 0.404888
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.041049 0.058206 0.082559 0.120331 0.178684 0.267507 0.417075
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.039008 0.055766 0.079780 0.117412 0.176221 0.266865 0.421660
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.037566 0.054160 0.078169 0.116197 0.176335 0.270236 0.432955
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.036546 0.053142 0.077393 0.116223 0.178381 0.276734 0.449752
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.035112 0.051449 0.075532 0.114472 0.177492 0.278408 0.458368
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.034005 0.050213 0.074323 0.113693 0.178120 0.282559 0.471413